Thursday, January 21, 2016

Good Buying Opportunity - Koon Yew Yin

If you watch CNBC you will see Cramer shouting the market down. He is like a preacher telling you that it is a sin to hold shares.
Cramer: Charts show huge sell-off could be coming

Since investors always follow the US Market, all the major stock markets in the world are falling. Most investors and fund managers are rushing to sell all their holdings as if tomorrow is too late to sell. All Fund managers will follow one another like in a herd of sheep. No one dares to take a contrarian view as there is safety in numbers.
If all investors can control their emotion of fear and think logically, all the shares will be fully valued and then there will not be any undervalue shares for you to buy. Now you can buy many good stocks at a discount. I think the following shares are good stocks to buy.
If you want to be a super investor, you must take advantage of this buying opportunity.

Favco
Canone
Chinwell
Focus Lumber
VS
Thong Guan
3rd last Q
10.34c
  9.88c
3.94c
3.22c
2.58c
4.4c
2nd last Q
  7.61c
14.77c
4.41c
7.80c
4.79c
6.75c
Last Quarter
14.27c
14.28c
6.07c
9.35c
5.22c
10.7c
Next Q
??
??
??
??
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Current Price
2.75
4.06
1.82
2.40
1.31
2.90

FAVCO
This company has strong capabilities of producing cranes that served 11 of the world 13 tallest buildings including Burj Dubai, Taipei 101 and Petronas Twin Towers. Their specialty is construction of “high speed high lift” tower cranes that move heavy things up and down fast. It also has strong branding and collaboration with partner like Caterpillar (the world’s biggest construction machine manufacturer) for its crawler crane. Last but not least, it is a cash rich company with a net cash position of RM1.15 per share. Some might argue that they involve in oil and gas sector which is very much depressed now. One who invests in this company is for its capabilities, know-how and strong balance sheet. It is a wiser bet to invest in Favco compared to other oil and gas companies as they will be in huge trouble if low oil price prolonged due to huge debt.
CANONE
Canone involves in cans manufacturing business and production of sweetened condensed milk and evaporated milk. Commodity price like milk has come down substantially which benefiting F&B players like Canone. This is evidenced from Nestle, F&N, Dutch Lady and Canone’s latest quarter result showing reduced cost in and hence higher profit. As at today, milk price is still very much depressed. Canone also owns 32.9% of Kian Joo Can Factory Berhad. At its market price today, the stake is worth RM463mil which is half of Canone’s market cap.
CHIN WELL
This company manufactures and trades fastening and wire products. Together with the sister companies Gem Year Industry Co. Ltd in China and Jinn Her Enterprise in Taiwan (each managing by a brother), they are one of the biggest group of fastener manufacturers in the world, if not the biggest.
Chin Well is the beneficiary of implementation of GST as GST charging 6% while previously sales tax charging 10%. There were a lot cheap products from China selling without invoice to avoid sales tax. With the implementation of GST, they need to issue invoice which will push the prices up by 6%. European Union imposed anti-dumping duty as high as 74% tariff on imports of certain steel fastener from China and Malaysia. There are 9 companies being exempted from this rule and Chin Well is one of them. This anti-dumping duty has been extended for a further 5 years from 2015.
In February 2015, Chin Well acquired the remaining 40% shares in its Vietnam subsidiary and now they are able to fully consolidate the contribution from Vietnam. Vietnam has slowly becoming the preferred manufacturing hub due to its lower labour cost compared to China. Chin Well’s Vietnam operation is focusing on European’s DIY market which command higher margin. Chin Well exports 67% of its product hence they benefit from weak ringgit.
FOCUS LUMBER
Focus Lumber manufactures plywood and veneers. It exports 97% of its products and mainly to USA.  It is a zero debt company with huge cash pile of 83 cents per share. Its profitability has improved for the past few quarters due to the fact that Ringgit has weakened significantly over the past few quarters. As low crude oil price leads to low gas price in US, people in US has more disposable income which leads to higher spending. Furniture players will benefit from this.
V.S INDUSTRIES
VS ranked 25 of the world top 50 electronic manufacturing companies in 2014. It is contract manufacturer of Keurig Green Mountain for its Keurig coffee machine, Dyson, sole OEM for Zodiac Pool Cleaners and etc. VS has operation in Malaysia, Indonesia, China, Vietnam and etc. 90% of the sales are transacted in USD and this accelerated earnings growth for the past few quarters.
The company was in talks with new clients in US and Europe and expect increasing export orders in 2016.
THONG GUAN
Thong Guan manufactures plastic and paper products like stretch films, garbage bags, flexible packaging and etc. It is one of the biggest players in Japan’s garbage bag market by having 15% market share. Thong Guan has been expanding all its production lines for the past 1 year and new capacity has brought in higher revenue and profit which evidenced in the past few quarters. There will be further new capacity coming in 2016 hence we can expect better performance for 2016.

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