Sunday, January 26, 2014

One Common Misunderstanding in Value Investing: Patience for Buy - Xaivier Chia

Patience is the state of endurance under difficult circumstances (ref. Wiki). In stock market investment, there are two very difficult circumstances that investors need to endure - Bull Market and Bear Market. In this article, I am going talk a little bit about Patience in Stock Market investment. Particularly, to try to understand the role of Patience in both Bear and Bull Market.
 

Bear Market

Situation:
  • During Bear Market, market is full of bad news. The trend of market price goes downward in a long period of time. Most investors lose their faith in market.   

Good Patience

  • Personally, I think during Bear Market, we should be very patience to wait for very attractive prices of good businesses for long term investment. As a value investor, you should be able to 'estimate' the bottom line of a company, any deal that has more than 50% discount is already a very good investment for me.

Bad Patience

  • One bad practise I think is to be very patience to wait until other people are optimistic about the future of the market. These kind of people do not like to do homework. However, they are very hardworking to find 'tips' and follow the atmosphere of the market.
 

Bull Market

Situation:
  • During Bull Market, market is full of good news. The trend of market price goes upward gradually. Most investors are very optimistic about future.  

Good Patience

  • Personally, I think during Bull Market, we should be very patience to wait for very attractive prices of good businesses for long term investment. As a value investor, you should be able to 'estimate' the bottom line of a company, any deal that has more than 30% discount is already a very good investment for me.

Bad Patience

  • One bad practise I think is to be very patience to wait for market collapses, bubble bursts, and so on. I still remember during the second half year of 2009, many 'investors' discouraged other people to enter market (buy in) because market was already rebounded 'significantly'. If you look back from now, it is a very bad decision.
 
Luckily, I met my mentor and he advised me that we should buy in as long as we can find a good deal in the market. After practise his advice for years, I do achieve my investment goal annually.
 
In short, please do not simply be patience and let's make friend with Bull and Bear. That's all for today. More fascinating articles and sharing will be updated weekly in Xaivier Blog. So, you are welcome to subscribe our feed to receive our weekly updates.
 

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