Friday, April 25, 2014

Pantech: Pengerang RAPID A Saviour? - Bursa D

Friday, 25 April 2014 
Pantech FY14Q4 Financial Result
 
PANTECH FY14Q4 FY14Q3 FY14Q2 FY14Q1 FY13Q4
Revenue 127.8 131.1 153.8 162.2 156.3
PBT 19.1 16.3 21.9 18.5 18.8
PBT% 14.9 12.4 14.2 11.4 12.0
PATAMI 14.6 12.1 15.3 13.8 12.6
           
Manu Rev 49.9 56.0 76.8 82.5 65.5
Manu PBT 9.3 10.1 13.0 12.6 7.6
Trade Rev 77.9 75.1 77.0 79.8 90.8
Trade PBT 9.8 7.0 9.9 8.9 12.4
           
Total Equity 430.0 417.7 411.4 393.2 376.7
Total Assets 687.6 698.8 722.2 687.6 695.8
Trade Receivables 128.7 120.8 128.5 125.1 111.2
Inventories 252.3 235.7 245.1 246.9 258.5
Cash 59.9 99.7 97.6 78.3 79.3
           
Total Liabilities 257.5 281.1 310.7 294.4 319.0
Trade Payables 44.8 36.9 56.3 46.2 36.5
ST Borrowings 130.6 144.2 148.9 151.0 181.1
LT Borrowings 63.1 78.8 75.1 79.1 75.4
           
Net Cash Flow -27.5 15.5 13.9 0.5 -22.9
Operation 65.9 41.2 29.5 4.6 38.6
Investment -33.4 -24.3 -16.7 -5.8 -82.2
Financing -59.9 -1.3 1.2 1.7 20.8
           
EPS 2.68 2.24 2.91 2.70 2.64
NAS 0.76 0.74 0.73 0.77 0.74
Net D/E Ratio 0.31 0.30 0.31 0.39 0.47
 
 
In its latest FY14Q4, Pantech's total revenue continue its gradual downtrend since 4 quarters ago because of weaker demands from Oil & Gas sector with slower projects execution. However, profit after tax improves both QoQ and YoY due to sales of better margin products.
 
After the acquisition of Nautic steel and the positive on Oil & Gas sector, I anticipate Pantech to make more sales due to its expanded reach worldwide through Nautic steel's network. However, current results are a bit disappointing.
 
Anyway, Pantech proposes a final single tier dividend of 1.0sen for its FY2014, which makes it altogether 4.4sen dividend in FY14, slightly lower than 4.6sen in FY13.
 
Thus its dividend yield is at 4.4% at share price of RM1.00 currently.
 
This represents a dividend payout of 45% from its FY14 net profit. Its quarterly and consistent dividend payout of between 40-45%, and the decent dividend yield make Pantech quite attractive.
 
Pantech's balance sheet still remain stable thanks to its strong operation cash flow. It managed to repay its borrowings while maintaining good dividend payout.
 
Its net debt/equity ratio stays at a healthy 0.31, even though cash drops significantly from RM100mil to RM60mil. 
 
 
PANTECH (RM mil) FY14 FY13 FY12 FY11 FY10 FY09 FY08
Revenue 574.9 635.7 434.6 335.8 401.6 511.6 313.3
Rev growth % -9.6 46.6 29.4 -16.4 -21.5 63.3  
PBT 75.9 80.2 47.2 37.4 66.8 82.0 45.0
PBT margin % 13.2 12.6 10.9 11.1 16.6 16.0 14.4
PATAMI 55.8 56.1 34.2 29.0 50.8 61.5 34.1
PATAMI growth % -0.5 64.0 17.9 -42.9 -17.4 80.4  
               
Trade Rev 309.8 384.7 308.2 243.9 363.5 428.6 265.1
Manu Rev 265.2 250.9 126.4 91.9 64.3 116.3 71.1
Trade PBT 34.3 60.6 43.0 43.1 44.4 73.5 36.3
Manu PBT 44.6 26.3 7.6 7.3 5.8 16.6 14.7
               
EPS 10.23 11.73 7.60 6.45 13.60 16.43 9.10
ROE 13.0 14.6 10.1        
 
 
For the whole FY14, revenue falls 9.6% while PATAMI falls only 0.5% compared to FY13, thanks to improved margin.
 
Generally contribution from manufacturing division continue to rise but at slower pace. Its trading division encounters a setback with lower demand and lower margin.
 
Its ROE is still at a good double digit 13.0%.
 
For its future outlook, Pantech is widely tipped to benefit from the Pengerang RAPID project which was given a green light in early April 2014 and is expected to be fully completed and operational by 2019.
 
Pantech will benefit in RAPID's construction stage by supplying the pipes, fittings & flow control solution (PFF). However, it is not sure that when will this project start and what is the contract value that Pantech can get.
 
It is reported by analysts that Pantech has good business relationship with most of the major O&G players in the country so it should not have a big problem to get orders and contracts.
 
 
       Pengerang Integrated Complex
 
 
Apart from this, the increased capacity at Nautic Steel from 500 MT/annum to 800 MT/annum might contribute positively to the group due to robust O&G activity worldwide and recent NORSOK certification. The management guides that it may increase the capacity further to 1,000 MT/annum by CY2015.
 
After being "disqualified" as Syariah compliant stock last year, Pantech is restructuring its debts so that it can be reinstated to Syariah compliant by the end of CY2014.
 
Even though FY14 is not a good year for Pantech due to slower than expected O&G projects execution, I believe that with the approval of RAPID, it can only get better in the future.
 
 
 

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